Silver investors may get a big driver this week in the form of US President Biden’s infrastructure-focused stimulus announcement. Mr. Biden will outline his plan in Pittsburgh on Wednesday, according to White House administration officials.
Regardless, the plan, which will focus on roads, bridges, airports, and green energy initiatives, will most likely be larger in size than any similar initiative before it. Many are estimating the size of the package to be in the trillions, likely near $3 trillion to start, although negotiations with Republicans who worry about tax increases to fund the measures may see the final total revised lower.
Silver is down nearly 6% on the month, and XAG/USD is now trading directly above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). So far, this key barrier appears to be providing a level of support, with prices remaining above the psychologically important 25 handle.
A break below the 200-day SMA would likely see additional selling pressure mount, perhaps with a move down to the 22.597 area that supported swings lower during the September and November selloffs last year. XAG/USD’s MACD oscillator is skewed to the bearish side as it trends lower. Alternatively, if prices continue to hold above support, a retest of trendline support from the March 2020 swing low remains on the cards to reestablish a bullish technical posture.