GBPUSD W1 12 03 2020 1734

 

In relative confluence, although due to time this isn’t so much the case anymore, lies the trend-line from the 2007 high. Regardless of whether it is in exact confluence or not, it is an important threshold that on a intra-week basis has been crossed. The key will be whether it can close above it to count as a break.

That will be one positive, but to really get cable trading higher we need to see a closing weekly candle above 13514. A close above major horizontal resistance and the long-term trend-line could clear a path for much higher prices.

The next significant area to worry about in that case might not arrive until the 2018 highs in the vicinity of 142/4400. However, resistance is resistance until it’s not, and that means we could still see another turn lower. An outcome towards lower levels appears likely to be less decisive than a breakout would be.

The bottom line is that GBP/USD is trading near a big level that could have a significant hand in how we shape our trading bias for the foreseeable future. Brexit talks appear to be nearing their end so we may have that resolution very soon.

 

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